Sunday, February 01, 2004

Go With The Flow

Physics? Chaos theory? String theory? Traffic flow? If this be (fair & balanced) incredulity, so be it.



[x The Guardian]
Futurology gets a little more exact
From the way we drive to how we vote, physicists reckon they can forecast human behaviour. Philip Ball explains the so-called "physics of society"
by Philip Ball

Imagine that you could predict whether house prices are about to crash. Or how a political party could choose policies guaranteeing electoral victory. Or whether a new set of criminal laws will reduce crime, or whether a new road will reduce traffic, or even whether your favourite pub will be overcrowded on the nights it shows live football.

Sounds good, doesn't it? But when it comes to human behaviour, politicians, pollsters, urban planners and economists have a decidedly mixed record of predicting the future or anticipating the consequences of their decisions. Because we have free will, futurology can never be an exact science.

Yet help may now be at hand from an unlikely source: physics. In the past few years, physicists have started applying their ideas to the social sciences in an attempt to figure out whether there exists a "physics of society". At the same time, social and political scientists have begun to adopt some of the methods pioneered in physics to understand and predict the behaviour of large groups of people. Unlikely as it might sound, there are signs that aspects of social behaviour follow mathematical laws akin to those obeyed by insensate matter in the physical sciences.

According to this picture, we sometimes act en masse as though we are a collection of atoms interacting with one another through forces of attraction and repulsion. This doesn't mean that everyone does the same thing, but it can mean that ourquirks get submerged beneath averages and mass movements. It doesn't mean that we lack free will, but it does suggest that we might not be as free as we'd like to believe.

For one thing, our choices are often very limited. And we sometimes do all we can to limit them even more. That's why we have conventions about how to dress, how to shake hands, on which side of the road to drive. Without such customs and rules, life would present an impossible confusion of choices. But one of the most striking findings to emerge from the new physics of society is that a major constraint on our free will is our interactions with other people. We influence what each other does. Sometimes that can lead to more conformity than we'd expect in a collection of independent individuals. And sometimes it can lead to sudden changes in social behaviour, like those described in the American writer Malcolm Gladwell's book The Tipping Point.

Physicists are used to seeing things like this. In a lump of iron, for example, each atom is like a tiny compass that can point its magnetic needle in a particular direction. Individually, each atom is free to choose its own orientation; but because of the magnetic forces between them, all the atoms tend to align their needles. Brazilian physicists have used a magnetic model like this to explain why the voting statistics of the 1998 Brazilian elections aren't what one would expect from a collection of independent decisions: the voting patterns show a clear signature of collective behaviour. This is what we'd expect if everyone is trying to convert their neighbours to their own political orientation. This puts an interesting twist on what we understand by democracy.

One of the social systems that shows the clearest signs of behaviour analogous to a collection of inanimate particles is traffic flow. That's probably because our choices are particularly constrained on the road - in general, all we do is aim to go in a specific direction, in single file, at the speed of our choosing. But we will, on the whole, reduce this speed if necessary to avoid the risk of collision.

Physicists have devised models of traffic flow in which each vehicle is represented by a particle programmed to move according to these rules. They find that the resulting flow looks spookily realistic. It can seize up into the kind of "phantom jams" that seem to have no cause. And it can develop the recurring waves of stop-and-go congestion familiar to motorway drivers.

Some traffic physicists argue that traffic exists in three distinct states: free flow, congested flow and jams. These are analogous to the gas, liquid and solid states of matter, and one flow state seems to switch to another abruptly, like the sudden "phase transitions" of melting, freezing seen in matter. Understanding what triggers these transitions in traffic might lead to better road designs and traffic regulations.

Similar models of mass movement have been applied to crowds of pedestrians. Researchers in Germany have used these models to understand how trails get trodden down spontaneously on areas of grass, which might help park designers build more agreeable paths. Particle-pedestrian models reveal what can go wrong when people try to flee in panic from a crowded room. The switch from orderly movement to a panic state can again be abrupt, and can lead to inefficient use of exits. Insights like this could improve building safety, and researchers at University College London are using such models to look for better crowd-management measures for the Notting Hill carnival.

Particles that attract and repel one another are also a good basis for understanding how coalitions and alliances form. Businesses might form conglomerates with some rivals in the hope of securing dominance for their own products and forcing other rivals out of the market. Likewise, in times of war countries might be prepared to band together to defeat a common enemy. Researchers in the US have shown that, by making crude estimates of the strength of the forces of "attraction" and "repulsion" between European countries in 1936, they could predict how the 17 countries would split into Axis and Allied camps in the second world war. Physicists in France have applied a similar model to try to understand the break-up of the former Yugoslavia and Soviet Union, and the expansion of the European Union.

Another area of social science that lends itself to a physics-based approach is economics. Here the "particles" are market traders, and they interact through trading transactions: buying and selling, which in turn sets commodity prices for future transactions. In addition, the traders are influenced by each others' decisions, which can cause herd-like behaviour and can trigger waves of buying or selling that destabilise the market. This "agent-based" approach to economics, which is being adopted by some leading economists such as Nobel laureate Kenneth Arrow, challenges some of the long-cherished notions about free markets, such as that they operate in equilibrium and lead to the most efficient distribution of goods.

Social physics won't solve all of society's problems, but it might provide a more rational basis for making social decisions. It can be hard to predict the effect of particular laws and policies once they are unleashed on a highly interactive population. By using agent-based modelling, and by understanding the analogies that such models often show with behaviour seen in physics, it might become possible to base some of those decisions on more than wishful thinking or dodgy statistics. In other words, it might become easier to anticipate the kinds of society that might result from certain choices. The hardest issue, of course - and here physics can offer no help - is to decide what kind of society we want in the first place.

Philip Ball's new book Critical Mass: the Physics of Society is published by William Heinemann.

Copyright © 2004 The Guardian


Somewhere in Texas

Bumper sticker sighted in Washington, DC:

Somewhere in Texas, there's a village that's missing an idiot!

If this be (fair & balanced) sedition, so be it!

Keep A Song In Your Heart

How does someone know when a song is good? Worth humming or whistling after hearing it?

Die Walküre: Ride of the Valkyries (RealAudio)

When I hear Wagner's Die Walküre: Ride of the Valkyries, I immediately think of Robert Duvall (Lt. Col. William "Bill" Kilgore) in Francis Ford Coppola's Apocalypse Now. Both Coppola and Stanley Kubrick—the greatest filmmakers of the late 20th century—used music to great effect in their films. Music is key to understanding life. If this be (fair & balanced) rhapsodizing, so be it.



[x Wall Street Journal]
That Sound You Hear Is the Soul Forming
By CARSON HOLLOWAY

Some of the most influential thinkers in history -- such as Plato, Aristotle and Rousseau -- have regarded music as essential to the good life, and not surprisingly. Music moves the passions and, as a philosopher might put it, helps to form the soul. The writing about such thinkers, though, says little about their musical teachings. Most welcome, then, is Georges Liebert's Nietzsche and Music (Chicago, 291 pages, $38).

It was Nietzsche, after all, who once remarked that "without music, life would be an error." Mr. Liebert assigns two possible meanings to this remark: Music is a way of making life bearable -- a beautiful refuge in a world otherwise ugly and hostile to human happiness. Or it is, in itself, a powerful affirmation of life, in all its joy and sorrow. Nietzsche shifted between these two understandings, as Mr. Liebert shows.

The core of "Nietzsche and Music," naturally, concerns the philosopher's infatuation with the music of Richard Wagner and his later disenchantment. For a time, Wagner seemed to restore, for Nietzsche, an ancient ideal that had fallen into neglect, if not oblivion.

Ancient Greek tragedy, in Nietzsche's view, attained artistic perfection by combining the Dionysian and Apollonian "art impulses of nature." According to Nietzsche, Dionysian art -- exemplified by music -- conveys an experience of passionate intoxication. Apollonian art -- exemplified by sculpture -- conveys a serene enjoyment of the beautiful. Greek tragedy's genius, Nietzsche believed, was to combine these impulses in such a way as to subordinate the Apollonian to the Dionysian.

"Without music," the philosopher wrote, "life would be an error."

Nietzsche understood the universe to be fundamentally Dionysian and thus musical, characterized by passionate longing and suffering. Greek tragedy fostered nobility because it confronted its audience with this problematic truth about life, in the face of which only the most courageous could flourish. Unfortunately, Dionysian music was expelled from tragedy by the rise, in the West, of a rationalistic worldview, which saw the universe as intelligible and happiness as attainable.

For Nietzsche such a view represented a cowardly refusal to face the truth of life, and the history of culture since its triumph (in Socratic philosophy and Christianity) was one of decadence. But then came Richard Wagner, from whose pen Dionysian music flowed once again. His music dramas, especially "Tristan and Isolde," promised to restore the spirit of tragedy and renew German culture. Nietzsche befriended the composer and in his writings seemed almost to worship him.

Nietzsche's bitter break with Wagner arose from his disappointment with "The Ring of the Nibelung" and his outrage at "Parsifal," which concerns the knights of the Holy Grail. Nietzsche thought that the "Ring" subordinated music to drama, allowing the Apollonian to dominate. And it concluded with a Gotterdammerung -- the apparent end of the world -- thus seeming to convey a decadent longing for nothingness. These sins, however, paled in comparison with Wagner's affirmation of Christian asceticism and compassion in "Parsifal." That opera Nietzsche regarded as an unpardonable apostasy from his hoped-for new German paganism of instinctive self-assertion.

Disenchanted, Nietzsche for a time turned away from music and its emotionalism, presenting himself as a defender of enlightenment science. Given his distrust of reason, however, and his deep love of music -- he was even an amateur composer -- he soon embraced again both music and the celebration of instinct over thought. Now, however, he emphasized the Apollonian element, the refuge of formal beauty, and sought a music of gaiety far removed from Wagner's "German heaviness."

Mr. Liebert captures these arguments in all their complexity, but not uncritically. Those inclined, for instance, to view Nietzsche as the theoretician of art and Wagner merely as the inspired but unreflective artist -- like the poets examined by Socrates who could not even explain the meaning of their own works -- will be disabused by Mr. Liebert's shrewd judgments. Sometimes, though, he stoops to argument by psychoanalysis. When Nietzsche denies Wagner's ability to organize his works on a grand scale, Mr. Liebert casts this criticism as a mere projection of Nietzsche's own humiliated sense of artistic inadequacy. Similarly, he sees sexual repression behind Nietzsche's disapproval of the "repugnant sexuality" of Wagner's music. Surely Nietzsche's ideas are profound enough to be taken on their own terms, whatever his personal ordeals.

Still, Nietzsche invited such readings. He said, for example, that his connection to music was "something of inestimable value, considering the psychological problem which I am; and now it will make people think." Future writers should, like Mr. Liebert, follow this clue, to understand both music itself and the enigmatic teachings of a profoundly enigmatic mind.

Mr. Holloway, who teaches political science at the University of Nebraska at Omaha, is the author of All Shook Up: Music, Passion, and Politics.

Copyright 2004 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved

Doonesbury Ain't That Funny Today

The local fishwrap doesn't carry Doonesbury on Sundays. Iraq is a 4-letter word. W, Cheney, Rummy, and Condi have gotten us into a fine mess. One year ago, Colin Powell sold his soul and lied up one side and down the other about Saddam and WMD. Now, the Bushies claim that WMD didn't matter. Saddam is evil and Gaddafi is a saint? We are living in interesting times. Garry Trudeau didn't make me feel any better with this strip. If this be (fair & balanced) malaise, so be it.


The Next Little Thing

I remember reading Bill Joy's jeremiad in Wired in 2000 and thinking: Come on. Machines take over the world? What has this guy been smoking? Read this piece by Rick Weiss and tell me that you think nanotechnology isn't a worry. As Lester Thrurow once said, There is an old Chinese curse: "May you live in interesting times." We are living in interesting times. If this be (fair & balanced) unease, so be it.



[x Washington Post ]
For Science, Nanotech Poses Big Unknowns
By Rick Weiss

Nanotechnology, the hot young science of making invisibly tiny machines and materials, is stirring public anxiety and nascent opposition inspired by best-selling thrillers that have demonized the science -- and new studies suggesting that not everything in those novels is fantasy.

The technology, in which scientists manufacture things less than 1,000th the width of a human hair, promises smaller computers, stronger and lighter materials, even "nanobots" able to cruise through people's blood vessels to treat diseases. Billions of dollars are being pumped into the field, and products with science-fiction-like properties have already begun to hit the market.

But studies have also shown that nanoparticles can act as poisons in the environment and accumulate in animal organs. And the first two studies of the health effects of engineered nanoparticles, published in January, have documented lung damage more severe and strangely different than that caused by conventional toxic dusts.

The risks of nanoparticles may ultimately prove to be minor and avoidable, experts say. Nonetheless, in a move that industry supporters blame on a conflation of facts with popular fiction -- such as Michael Crichton's best-selling thriller "Prey," in which rogue nanoparticles wreak deadly havoc -- activists have begun to organize against the science.

Some in California are trying to block construction of a nanotech factory, noting that no government agency has developed safety rules for nano products. Others want a global moratorium on the field until the risks are better understood.

Now, realizing that public perception may be at a tipping point, the fledgling industry and government agencies are taking a novel tack, funding sociologists, philosophers and even ethicists to study the public's distrust of nano. Supporters of the approach say these experts will serve as the industry's conscience and ensure that the science moves forward responsibly. Others suspect it is an effort to defuse nano's critics.

Both sides agree the stakes are huge. Government officials have called nanotechnology the foundation for the "next industrial revolution," worth an estimated trillion dollars within the coming decade. But if nano's supporters play their cards wrong, experts say -- by belittling public fears as "irrational" or blundering into a health or environmental mishap -- the industry could find itself mired in a costly public relations debacle even worse than the one that turned genetically engineered crops into "Frankenfood."

"We can't risk making the same mistakes that were made with the introduction of biotechnology," said Rita Colwell, director of the National Science Foundation, the nation's largest funder of nanotechnology research. "We have to do this benignly and equitably."

The struggle for public trust will be challenging, officials confess, given the frightening tales that have been spun about nano in recent years.

It started in 2000, when Bill Joy, co-founder of the computer giant Sun Microsystems, wrote a chilling and widely read article warning that self-replicating nanomachines could eventually overwhelm the human race and digest the living world into a mass of "gray goo" -- a scenario that many scientists, but not all, reject.

Then came "Prey." And in Dan Brown's No. 1 best-selling novel, "Angels & Demons," the Catholic Church denounces nanoscience as evil. (It has not, although Britain's Prince Charles has expressed alarm about the science.)

In December it seemed the industry might at last be shaking off its negative image: In an Oval Office ceremony, President Bush hailed the technology and signed a $3.7 billion bill to boost the research. But even as the president was signing that bill, researchers at the National Science Foundation across the Potomac were attending a meeting on nano's social and environmental risks.

It is too soon to say whether nano will wean society from dirty technologies or simply produce its own versions of the asbestos, diesel soot and DDT debacles that are the legacy of the last industrial revolution. The science is still new, and the rhetoric on both sides remains defensive and polarized.

"This is a genuine opportunity for an engaged dialogue," said Davis Baird, who, as chairman of the University of South Carolina's philosophy department and associate director of the university's Nanocenter, is part of the nascent effort to separate nanomythology from fact.

"But it's going to be tricky," Baird said. " 'Risk' is a more subtle concept than broad sections of the public appreciate."

Burgeoning Industry


Nanotechnology started off as little more than a clever means of making incredibly small things. IBM scientists made headlines in 1990 by painstakingly arranging 35 xenon atoms to spell out the company's three-letter name, creating the world's smallest corporate logo. Cornell University scientists followed with an invisibly small "nanoguitar." Its strings, each just a few atoms across, could be plucked by laser beams to play notes 17 octaves higher than those produced by a conventional guitar -- well above the human hearing range.

Novelties though they were, these feats proved that with new tools in hand scientists could arrange atoms as methodically as masons arrange bricks -- and in doing so build materials never made in nature.

Now the field is taking off.

Last year alone, hundreds of tons of nanomaterials were made in U.S. labs and factories. Microscopically thin sheets of tightly woven carbon atoms are being wrapped around the cores of tennis balls to keep air from escaping. New fabrics have been endowed with nanofibers that keep stains from settling in. Some sunscreens have ultraviolet-absorbing nanoparticles so small they cannot reflect light, making them invisible. Tennis rackets and airplane bodies are being made with nanomaterials whose atoms have been carefully arranged to make them especially strong.

"This technology is coming, and it won't be stopped," said Phillip J. Bond, the Department of Commerce's undersecretary for technology.

Bond may be right. But it won't be for some people's lack of trying.

Foremost among those activists is Pat Mooney of the Winnipeg-based ETC Group, which has called for a moratorium on commercial production of nanomaterials until its risks are better elucidated and regulations put in place.

It is a radical stand , but industry knows it ignores Mooney at its peril. He spearheaded much of the opposition to agricultural biotechnology -- opposition so successful that it made biotech giant Monsanto Co.'s name synonymous with "PR failure" and resulted in European restrictions on imported crops that continue to cost the United States hundreds of millions of dollars in lost trade every year.

"I do think there is a growing sense that they have to address these issues more seriously than they did in the past," Mooney said.

Scientists have known for years that tiny particles such as soot or metal powders can, when inhaled, cause lung disease, cancer and other ailments. But the laws of chemistry and physics work differently when particles get down to the nanoscale. As a result, even substances that are normally innocuous can trigger intense chemical reactions -- and biological damage -- as nanoscale specks.

Gold, for example, is a famously inert metal. But nanoparticles of gold are extremely chemically reactive, with the potential to disrupt biological pathways.

"The smaller the particles, the more toxic they become," said Vyvyan Howard, a University of Liverpool pathologist who studies the health effects of environmental aerosols.

The first two studies to look for such problems appeared in the January issue of the journal Toxicological Sciences, and the results, experts said, are less than reassuring.

In the first study -- sponsored by NASA, an agency that hopes to make great use of nanomaterials -- Chiu-Wing Lam of Wyle Laboratories in Houston and his colleagues washed three kinds of carbon nanotubes into the lungs of mice and examined them as much as three months later. Nanotubes are incredibly strong, microscopic tubules made of carbon atoms; some are already being produced in factories.

All three types caused lung granulomas -- abnormalities that interfere with oxygen absorption and can progress to fatal lung disease. And although each mouse got just one exposure, the lesions got worse over time, with some progressing to tissue death. On average the reactions were worse than those in mice given equal amounts of quartz particles, which toxicologists use as their "serious damage" standard.

Carbon nanotubules, the team concluded, "can be more toxic than quartz, which is considered a serious occupational health hazard in chronic inhalation exposures."

The other study was led by David Warheit at DuPont Co.'s Haskell Laboratory near Newark, Del., and involved similar exposures in rats. Surprising the scientists, 15 percent of the animals getting the highest dose died from lung blockages within 24 hours -- an outcome the group had never seen for any lung toxin. Warheit said in an interview he did not believe the deaths were indicative of any "inherent pulmonary toxicity" of nanotubes. But his other results were surprising, as well: All the surviving rats developed granulomas, yet without the inflammatory responses that usually accompany those lesions.

"The response in the body was quite unique," said Vicki Colvin, director of the Center for Biological and Environmental Nanotechnology, a federally funded research center at Rice University that also gets support from the university and industry. "They behaved differently than other carbon-based ultrafine particles."

"This is a very unusual lesion," Warheit agreed. "The question is, why did that happen?"

Warheit, whose company hopes to profit from nanotechnology, is optimistic that nanomaterials will prove relatively nontoxic. He and Lam note that more realistic tests, in which the particles are inhaled, have yet to be done. Those tests are expensive, both noted, and no one has expressed a willingness to fund them.

Inhaled particles do not always stop at the lungs. Experiments by University of Rochester toxicologist Gunter Oberdoerster showed that nanoparticles can make their way from a rat's throat into its brain, apparently via the nasal cavities and olfactory bulb.

"Who knows how they interact with cells there?" Oberdoerster asked. "Maybe they do something bad and lead to brain diseases."

Other scientists have wondered at recent meetings whether nanoparticles can cross the placenta and get into a developing fetus.

Scientists in France recently showed that carbon nanotubes -- thousands of which could fit inside a cell -- can easily penetrate living cells and even make their way into the nucleus, the inner sanctum where DNA resides.

The researchers hope to harness this capacity and use nanotubes as vehicles to deliver drugs into cells. But the approach could easily backfire, they conceded.

In many instances, for reasons that remain unclear, the nanotubes themselves killed the cells.

Environmental Effects


The effects of nanoparticles in nature are similarly unclear. Depending on whom you ask, the strange chemistry of nanomaterials could save or destroy the environment.

Tom Kalil, special assistant to the chancellor for science and technology at the University of California at Berkeley, is among the optimists.

"Recent results suggest that nanoscale particles could play a very important role in environmental cleanup, dramatically reducing the costs associated with remediating Superfund sites," Kalil said. Engineered nanospheres, which resemble tiny molecular cages, can trap polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and toxic metals, he said. And researchers are designing nanopore materials that can filter out bacteria, viruses and toxins from water.

But not all nanoparticles are so green.

Titanium dioxide, for example, is a generally nonreactive substance used in many products, including skin lotions and house paints. Increasingly, however, it is being made in the form of nano-size particles. And tests show that they are highly reactive, generating chemically "hot" free radicals that can literally burn up bacteria. That has some experts worrying about impacts on soil ecology if the particles are released.

Robin Davies, a British scientist with Soil Environment Services Ltd. in Newcastle upon Tyne, said even slight changes in bacterial populations can have major effects on soil chemistry and on its ability to support plant life. Knocking out soil microbes, he said, "can both create serious environmental pollution and also impoverish the soil for many decades."

No one knows how much "nanolitter" is being released into the environment, experts said, and disposal rules have yet to be crafted.

Even more distressing to activists, nanotechnology is starting to be exploited on a large scale in the great outdoors. Last summer, for example, under contract to the Bureau of Indian Affairs, Utah-based Sequoia Pacific Research Co. sprayed a proprietary "nanostructured solution" on 1,400 acres in New Mexico to try to stabilize the soil after forest fires destroyed the local vegetation. Company officials will not reveal the ingredients in their product, saying only that it does not contain engineered nanoparticles. It works, they said, by triggering cross-reactions among naturally occurring nanoparticles in the soil.

But activists are upset that what appears to have been the world's largest environmental release of a product designed to operate on the nanoscale occurred without federal review or impact studies.

Scientists also want to know what happens to nanoparticles months and years after their release. Researchers at Rice University's CBEN have shown that like many other nonbiodegradable pollutants, they accumulate in living things over time, with ever-increasing concentrations in microbes, in the worms that eat those microbes, and in animals higher up the food chain.

CBEN researchers emphasized that accumulation does not necessarily mean harm, and others dismiss the idea that nanoparticles pose an environmental threat. Clark University risk specialist Roger Kasperson said that reminds him of the early days of the atomic era, when experts similarly unburdened by data predicted that nuclear power plants could never melt down and that electricity would become too cheap to meter.

"Critics of nuclear power were called irrational," said Kasperson, who directs the Stockholm Environment Institute, an international research organization focused on sustainable development. "The starting point to me is to acknowledge that we don't know what the risks of nano are, and we don't know what the benefits are, and we won't for some time."

Incomplete Data


Everybody agrees that if nanotechnology is going to be the next industrial revolution, it would be nice if it were a cleaner revolution than the last one. Nobody wants to read Rachel Carson writ small.

"In the old industrial revolution, we learned too late," said David Rejeski, director of the Foresight and Governance Project at the Washington-based Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. "We ended up chasing waste streams, and we still are."

But the regulatory schemes that came into being as a result of that mess are not designed to cope with the challenges of nanopollution.

Currently, companies seeking regulatory approval to manufacture or release potentially toxic substances are required to answer two basic questions: "What is it?" and "How much of it will there be?" But neither question works well for nanotechnology, because substances that are nontoxic in bulk form can be deadly when produced on the nanoscale.

"We're so keyed in to the composition of the substance when we think of toxicology, but on the nanoscale the [particle] size and surface chemistry will probably be the most important feature," CBEN director Colvin said. "That's an interesting paradigm shift."

Even when huge amounts of nanoparticles are made and packed together, the underlying presence of all those microscopic particles can make big materials behave in strange ways.

"There's no doubt from everything we've found that even in aggregates, nanoparticles still express their nanoparticleness, if you will," said Howard, the University of Liverpool aerosol expert.

This truth has not been integrated into the regulatory world. Take the growing number of factories in the United States making carbon nanotubes, which are made of graphite but behave very differently from ordinary graphite.

Like all factories, nanotube facilities must submit "material safety data sheets" describing the substances they handle and assuring that appropriate measures are in place to keep human exposures below mandated thresholds.

But the data sheets that nanotube factories are filing to regulators are simply for graphite.

"You can't simultaneously proclaim a product is new and has all these novel properties and at the same time claim that it can be regulated as if it were nothing different," said Eric Drexler, chairman of the Foresight Institute in Palo Alto, Calif., a nonprofit educational organization focused on advanced technologies. "You can't have it both ways. If these have new properties, they have to be examined and regulated that way."

Mooney said he has been struck by the wide variation in precautions different countries have demanded. In some factories, he said, workers are using high-tech air filtering equipment to guard against inhaling nanoparticles or contaminating the plant. At others, he said, workers wear cheap face masks with pore sizes so large as to offer no real protection.

"It's like having a basketball net over your head to protect you from mosquitoes," he said.

Federal officials acknowledge they have not developed safety standards for nanoproducts, and the agencies are still getting up to speed on the topic.

Norris Alderson, director of the Food and Drug Administration's office of science, said the agency had so far approved six nano-based products: two drugs, two medical devices and two sunscreen lotions. But he did not know whether special safety tests had been required. Pressed for those details, an agency representative called back to report that, in fact, no nano-based products have been approved. No explanation for the confusion was offered.

At the Environmental Protection Agency, after repeated requests for access to an officer in charge of nano-related environmental reviews, an official at the agency said there was no one with any information to provide, and "as of now there are no specific regulations."

Many industry representatives and some independent experts argue that it is too soon to slap restrictions on nano.

"There is a long-term concern, but where is the immediate concern?" asked Thomas Theis, director of physical sciences at IBM Research in Yorktown Heights, N.Y., who sits on two key federal advisory committees dealing with nano. "We have the Environmental Protection Agency. We have OSHA [the Occupational Safety and Health Administration]. That's their function."

But virtually everyone agrees that much more research is needed than is currently being funded to answer questions about toxicity.

"It's clear we are underinvesting in this area," Kalil said.

Only this year, for example, is the EPA considering proposals for what would be its first funded studies on the potential impacts of nanoparticles on the environment.

The agency's request for proposals, published last year, begins candidly, "There is a serious lack of information about the human health and environmental implications of manufactured nanomaterials."

Potential Shock Waves


It will be years before the first studies of nanotechnology's health and environmental impacts come together into a body of evidence, but government and industry officials know that public opinion could solidify long before then. In Berkeley, residents and some members of the city health commission have been staging protests against plans to build a nanotech "molecular foundry" in the hills above town, sending a shiver down the spines of some nano advocates.

Government and industry officials say they are aware of nanotech's societal and environmental implications and can be trusted to be taking them seriously.

Mihail Roco, chief of nanotechnology for the National Science and Technology Council, a Cabinet-level group that advises the president on matters of science, likes to note that he convened the first federal meeting on the societal implications of the science in 2000, two years before Greenpeace came out with its report on the same subject and three years before Mooney's ETC Group published its 80-page manifesto about the threats posed by nano.

Yet most of the social concerns addressed at that meeting -- and at a similar meeting Roco convened in December -- were related not to the direct health or environmental risks of nanotechnology but to the likely social and economic disruptions as the technology invades older manufacturing sectors and displaces workers. Much of the emphasis has been on how to beef up science and engineering curricula in schools to handle nanotechnology's workforce needs.

Roco also has said repeatedly that about 10 percent of the current nano budget in this country is devoted to environmental issues. But experts familiar with the numbers say that figure is deceiving. Almost all that money is going to study how nanotechnology may profitably be used to address existing environmental problems -- an important question, scientists said, but one quite different than that of how nanotech may negatively affect the environment.

And although the nano spending bill that Bush recently signed calls for social and environmental concerns to be addressed, efforts to include a minimum dollar amount for such studies lost out in the final draft.

Some observers have been heartened by the government's recent funding of social scientists and ethicists as representatives of the public interest to make sure the new science is introduced responsibly and safely. But ethics cannot substitute for solid scientific assessments of risk, critics note. And even some of the social scientists who have received those grants say they are skeptical about their roles.

"They're very concerned about public perceptions," said one recipient, speaking on condition of anonymity. "But a lot of it's about, 'How can we make sure people are not afraid so we can go ahead with this?' " Still, nano advocates express confidence that the industry will be straight with the public. "The big companies get it," said Kristen Kulinowski of Rice University.

If nothing else, there's always the fear of repeating history. No nanotech company, she said, wants to be the next Monsanto.

© 2004 The Washington Post Company