W is the 5th incumbent seeking reelection since 1980. Look what happened to Carter and Bush 41. Trailing in the final poll of their second elections, both were one-term presidents. Dutch and the Trickster were in the lead in the final poll and both were reelected. Watch W's final poll numbers. If this is (fair & balanced) wistfulness, so be it.
| Year | Incumbent | Final Polls (in percent) | Actual Vote (in percent) |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton | 51 | 49 |
| 1992 | George H.W. Bush | 37 | 37 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan | 58 | 59 |
| 1980 | Jimmy Carter | 42 | 41 |
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